A Query on Confirmation
Goodman (Nelson)
Source: The Journal of Philosophy, Vol. 43, No. 14 (Jul. 4, 1946), pp. 383-385
Paper - Abstract

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Author’s Conclusion

  1. Undoubtedly we do make predictions by projecting the patterns of the past into the future, but in selecting the patterns we project from among all those that the past exhibits, we use practical criteria that so far seem to have escaped discovery and formulation. The problem is not peculiar to the work of the authors I have named; so far as I am aware, no one has as yet offered any satisfactory solution.
  2. What we have in the papers cited is an ingenious and valuable logico-mathematical apparatus that we may apply to the sphere of projectible or confirmable predicates whenever we dis cover what a projectible or confirmable predicate is.

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