Theo Todman's Web Page - Notes Pages

Christian Tractatus

(Text as at 12/08/2007 10:17:46)

Ideally, we would like to assign a mathematical probability to any statement, ie. a real number in the range 0 to 1, with 0 representing impossibility & 1 representing certainty. As in the frequency theory of probability, the assigned number should represent the proportion of situations in which the statement is expected to turn out to be true.

  1. However, in most cases this approach has a spurious aura of precision, because most situations are not regular or repeatable events.
  2. It must be noted that where the possible outcomes of an experiment form a continuum or other infinite set, the a priori probability of any particular outcome is 0. Nonetheless, we would not describe any particular outcome, a posteriori, as unlikely. Rather, we would divide the domain of possible outcomes into equivalence classes (whose total probability may be obtained by summation or integration) and judge the outcome of the experiment by the probability of its class.

Note last updated Reference for this Topic Parent Topic
12/08/2007 10:17:46 459 (Probability - Issues) Probability

Summary of Note Links to this Page


To access information, click on one of the links in the table above.

Authors, Books & Papers Citing this Note

Author Title Medium Extra Links Read?
Todman (Theo) Thesis - Probability Paper Medium Quality Abstract   Yes

Text Colour Conventions

  1. Blue: Text by me; © Theo Todman, 2017

© Theo Todman, June 2007 - September 2017.Please address any comments on this page to output:
Website Maintenance Dashboard
Return to Top of this PageReturn to Theo Todman's Philosophy PageReturn to Theo Todman's Home Page