(Text as at 12/08/2007 10:17:46)

**In practical life, where it is unreasonable to assign a numerical probability to an event, we do assign non-mathematical probabilities to statements and base our actions on them.**

- For instance, a jury may decide that a defendant is guilty "beyond reasonable doubt". That is, using the mathematical model, be is probably guilty with a probability that approaches 1. However, the ascription of a number (say 0.95) to this probability does not have as precise a meaning as the accuracy of the number suggests. A possibility is to apply a tolerance factor (eg. 0.95 +/- 0.05), which would indicate the degree of uncertainty.

Note last updated | Reference for this Topic | Parent Topic |
---|---|---|

12/08/2007 10:17:46 | 460 (Probability - Practicality) | Probability |

Probability |

To access information, click on one of the links in the table above.

Author |
Title |
Medium |
Extra Links |
Read? |

Todman (Theo) | Thesis - Probability | Paper | Yes |

- Blue: Text by me; © Theo Todman, 2018

© Theo Todman, June 2007 - January 2018. | Please address any comments on this page to theo@theotodman.com. | File output: Website Maintenance Dashboard |

Return to Top of this Page | Return to Theo Todman's Philosophy Page | Return to Theo Todman's Home Page |